Allsvenskan
Halmstads BK vs Malmö FF Prediction: a narrow Malmö FF win
Our model makes Halmstads BK vs Malmö FF a narrow Malmö FF win and low confidence at 56%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Malmö FF favoured at 56% — model xG 1.0 vs 1.6.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Malmö FF or drawDouble chance tips today79%1.27
- Malmö FF (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today71%1.41
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today69%1.45
- Malmö FF to winMatch result tips today56%1.79
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.7%8.55
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 41Tips44 Power56
- 43Tips44 Form57
- 40Tips44 Attack40
- 40Tips44 Defence72
- 50Tips44 Goals30
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Malmö FF at 56 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.0 goals from Halmstads BK and 1.6 from Malmö FF, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Malmö FF or draw at 79 percent, Malmö FF (draw no bet) at 71 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 69 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Halmstads BK vs Malmö FF: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Halmstads BK vs Malmö FF?
Malmö FF. Our model gives them a 56% chance of winning, against 21% for Halmstads BK and 23% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 58%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 58%, with expected goals of 1.0 for Halmstads BK and 1.6 for Malmö FF.
When is Halmstads BK vs Malmö FF?
Wednesday 28 October, 21:00 EAT (18:00 UTC). It is a Allsvenskan match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.