2. Bundesliga
Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction: a narrow Hertha BSC win
Our model makes Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg a narrow Hertha BSC win and low confidence at 45%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 71% — combined xG 3.2.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 316 wins and 130 losses from 446 settled picks, a 70.9% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- Hertha BSC or VfL WolfsburgDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- Hertha BSC (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today76%1.32
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today74%1.35
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today71%1.41
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today70%1.43
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today9.5%10.53
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 80Tips44 Power63
- 87Tips44 Form60
- 80Tips44 Attack100
- 72Tips44 Defence28
- 70Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Hertha BSC to score90% recent
Hertha BSC scored in 9 of their last 10 (20 goals).
- VfL Wolfsburg to score90% recent
VfL Wolfsburg scored in 9 of their last 10 (30 goals).
- Both teams to score70% recent · model 70%
Both teams scored in 6 of Hertha BSC's last 10 and 8 of VfL Wolfsburg's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today - Over 2.5 goals70% recent · model 71%
7 of Hertha BSC's last 10 and 7 of VfL Wolfsburg's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 2.7 and 4.8 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Hertha BSC at 45 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 2.1 goals from Hertha BSC and 1.2 from VfL Wolfsburg, a combined 3.2, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, Hertha BSC or VfL Wolfsburg at 76 percent and Hertha BSC (draw no bet) at 76 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Hertha BSC2.06
VfL Wolfsburg1.17Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Hertha BSC. Our model gives them a 45% chance of winning, against 31% for VfL Wolfsburg and 24% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 70%. Both teams scored in 6 of Hertha BSC's last 10 and 8 of VfL Wolfsburg's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 71%, with expected goals of 2.1 for Hertha BSC and 1.2 for VfL Wolfsburg.
When is Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Saturday 7 November, 22:30 EAT (19:30 UTC). It is a 2. Bundesliga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.