Allsvenskan
IF Elfsborg vs Örgryte IS Prediction: a narrow IF Elfsborg win
Our model makes IF Elfsborg vs Örgryte IS a narrow IF Elfsborg win and low confidence at 57%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
IF Elfsborg favoured at 57% — model xG 1.9 vs 1.1.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- IF Elfsborg or drawDouble chance tips today80%1.25
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today80%1.25
- IF Elfsborg (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today74%1.35
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today65%1.54
- IF Elfsborg to winMatch result tips today57%1.75
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.2%9.80
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 65Tips44 Power28
- 60Tips44 Form20
- 64Tips44 Attack56
- 72Tips44 Defence8
- 50Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- IF Elfsborg to score80% recent
IF Elfsborg scored in 8 of their last 10 (16 goals).
- Örgryte IS to score80% recent
Örgryte IS scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has IF Elfsborg at 57 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from IF Elfsborg and 1.1 from Örgryte IS, a combined 3.1, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by IF Elfsborg or draw at 80 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 80 percent and IF Elfsborg (draw no bet) at 74 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
IF Elfsborg vs Örgryte IS: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in IF Elfsborg vs Örgryte IS?
IF Elfsborg. Our model gives them a 57% chance of winning, against 20% for Örgryte IS and 23% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 57%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 58%, with expected goals of 1.9 for IF Elfsborg and 1.1 for Örgryte IS.
When is IF Elfsborg vs Örgryte IS?
Sunday 1 November, 18:30 EAT (15:30 UTC). It is a Allsvenskan match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.