Nigeria Premier Football League
Ikorodu City vs Inter Lagos Prediction: a comfortable Ikorodu City win
Our model makes Ikorodu City vs Inter Lagos a comfortable Ikorodu City win, with a most likely score of 2-0 and high confidence at 85%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Ikorodu City favoured at 85%, with model xG of 2.5 vs 0.5.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Ikorodu City to winMatch result tips today85%1.18
- Ikorodu City or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Ikorodu City (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 2-0Correct score tips today16.0%6.25
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 46Tips44 Power27
- 37Tips44 Form20
- 48Tips44 Attack20
- 52Tips44 Defence40
- 50Tips44 Goals20
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Ikorodu City at 85 percent, with the draw at 12 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.5 goals from Ikorodu City and 0.5 from Inter Lagos FC, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Ikorodu City to win at 85 percent, Ikorodu City or draw at 85 percent and Ikorodu City (draw no bet) at 85 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-0, though at 16.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Ikorodu City2.50
Inter Lagos FC0.47Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Ikorodu City vs Inter Lagos: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Ikorodu City vs Inter Lagos?
Ikorodu City. Our model gives them an 85% chance of winning, against 4% for Inter Lagos and 12% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 39%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 56%, with expected goals of 2.5 for Ikorodu City and 0.5 for Inter Lagos.
When is Ikorodu City vs Inter Lagos?
Sunday 8 November, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Nigeria Premier Football League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.