Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield Prediction: a narrow Independiente Rivadavia win
Our model makes Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield a narrow Independiente Rivadavia win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and moderate confidence at 62%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Independiente Rivadavia favoured at 62%, with model xG of 1.8 vs 0.9.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Independiente Rivadavia or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Independiente Rivadavia (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today78%1.28
- Independiente Rivadavia to winMatch result tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today11.9%8.40
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 42Tips44 Power40
- 43Tips44 Form33
- 52Tips44 Attack48
- 32Tips44 Defence40
- 50Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Banfield to score90% recent
Banfield scored in 9 of their last 10 (12 goals).
- Both teams to score70% recent · model 48%
Both teams scored in 6 of Independiente Rivadavia's last 10 and 8 of Banfield's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Independiente Rivadavia at 62 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from Independiente Rivadavia and 0.9 from Banfield, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Independiente Rivadavia or draw at 85 percent, Independiente Rivadavia (draw no bet) at 78 percent and Independiente Rivadavia to win at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 11.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Independiente Rivadavia1.80
Banfield0.92Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?
Independiente Rivadavia. Our model gives them a 62% chance of winning, against 14% for Banfield and 24% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 48%. Both teams scored in 6 of Independiente Rivadavia's last 10 and 8 of Banfield's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 51%, with expected goals of 1.8 for Independiente Rivadavia and 0.9 for Banfield.
When is Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?
Tuesday 3 November, 03:15 EAT (00:15 UTC). It is a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.