Categoría Primera A
Independiente Santa Fe vs Atlético Bucaramanga Prediction: a narrow Independiente Santa Fe win
Our model makes Independiente Santa Fe vs Atlético Bucaramanga a narrow Independiente Santa Fe win and low confidence at 49%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Independiente Santa Fe or drawDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- Independiente Santa Fe (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today68%1.47
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.6%7.94
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 56Tips44 Power62
- 57Tips44 Form57
- 52Tips44 Attack64
- 60Tips44 Defence64
- 40Tips44 Goals40
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Atlético Bucaramanga to score80% recent
Atlético Bucaramanga scored in 8 of their last 10 (16 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Independiente Santa Fe at 49 percent, with the draw at 28 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Independiente Santa Fe and 0.9 from Atlético Bucaramanga, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Independiente Santa Fe or draw at 76 percent and Independiente Santa Fe (draw no bet) at 68 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Independiente Santa Fe vs Atlético Bucaramanga: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Independiente Santa Fe vs Atlético Bucaramanga?
Independiente Santa Fe. Our model gives them a 49% chance of winning, against 24% for Atlético Bucaramanga and 28% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 49%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 45%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Independiente Santa Fe and 0.9 for Atlético Bucaramanga.
When is Independiente Santa Fe vs Atlético Bucaramanga?
Tuesday 27 October, 04:05 EAT (01:05 UTC). It is a Categoría Primera A match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.