Brasileirão Serie A
Internacional vs Coritiba Prediction: a narrow Internacional win
Our model makes Internacional vs Coritiba a narrow Internacional win and low confidence at 59%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Internacional favoured at 59%, with model xG of 1.7 vs 1.0.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Internacional or drawDouble chance tips today83%1.20
- Internacional (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today74%1.35
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today72%1.39
- Internacional to winMatch result tips today59%1.69
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.5%8.70
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 40Tips44 Power35
- 33Tips44 Form37
- 56Tips44 Attack48
- 32Tips44 Defence20
- 70Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 76%
9 of Internacional's last 10 and 8 of Coritiba's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Internacional to score80% recent
Internacional scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Internacional at 59 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from Internacional and 1.0 from Coritiba, a combined 2.6, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Internacional or draw at 83 percent, Internacional (draw no bet) at 74 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 72 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Internacional1.68
Coritiba0.97Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Internacional vs Coritiba: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Internacional vs Coritiba?
Internacional. Our model gives them a 59% chance of winning, against 17% for Coritiba and 23% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 52%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 52%, with expected goals of 1.7 for Internacional and 1.0 for Coritiba.
When is Internacional vs Coritiba?
Wednesday 4 November, 03:30 EAT (00:30 UTC). It is a Brasileirão Serie A match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.