Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda Prediction: a narrow NAC Breda win
Our model makes Jong PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda a narrow NAC Breda win and low confidence at 59%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 71% — combined xG 3.1.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- NAC Breda or drawDouble chance tips today80%1.25
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today71%1.41
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today67%1.49
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today65%1.54
- Jong PSV Eindhoven (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today63%1.59
- NAC Breda to winMatch result tips today59%1.69
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.5%9.52
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 46Tips44 Power59
- 43Tips44 Form60
- 52Tips44 Attack84
- 44Tips44 Defence32
- 50Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- NAC Breda to score100% recent
NAC Breda scored in 10 of their last 10 (21 goals).
- Jong PSV Eindhoven to score90% recent
Jong PSV Eindhoven scored in 9 of their last 10 (13 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 86%
8 of Jong PSV Eindhoven's last 10 and 9 of NAC Breda's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Both teams to score80% recent · model 65%
Both teams scored in 8 of Jong PSV Eindhoven's last 10 and 8 of NAC Breda's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has NAC Breda at 59 percent, with the draw at 21 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from Jong PSV Eindhoven and 1.4 from NAC Breda, a combined 3.1, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Seven markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, NAC Breda or draw at 80 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 71 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Jong PSV Eindhoven1.78
NAC Breda1.36Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Jong PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Jong PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda?
NAC Breda. Our model gives them a 59% chance of winning, against 20% for Jong PSV Eindhoven and 21% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 65%. Both teams scored in 8 of Jong PSV Eindhoven's last 10 and 8 of NAC Breda's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 71%, with expected goals of 1.8 for Jong PSV Eindhoven and 1.4 for NAC Breda.
When is Jong PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda?
Monday 2 November, 22:00 EAT (19:00 UTC). It is a Eerste Divisie match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.