Challenger Pro League
KAS Eupen vs Royal Excelsior Virton Prediction: a narrow KAS Eupen win
Our model makes KAS Eupen vs Royal Excelsior Virton a narrow KAS Eupen win and low confidence at 57%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
KAS Eupen favoured at 57% — model xG 1.8 vs 1.3.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 310 wins and 145 losses from 455 settled picks, a 68.1% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- KAS Eupen or drawDouble chance tips today80%1.25
- KAS Eupen (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today64%1.56
- KAS Eupen to winMatch result tips today57%1.75
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.8%9.26
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 67Tips44 Power52
- 70Tips44 Form43
- 84Tips44 Attack64
- 48Tips44 Defence48
- 80Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- KAS Eupen to score100% recent
KAS Eupen scored in 10 of their last 10 (21 goals).
- Royal Excelsior Virton to score90% recent
Royal Excelsior Virton scored in 9 of their last 10 (16 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 81%
9 of KAS Eupen's last 10 and 8 of Royal Excelsior Virton's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Both teams to score70% recent · model 58%
Both teams scored in 8 of KAS Eupen's last 10 and 6 of Royal Excelsior Virton's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has KAS Eupen at 57 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from KAS Eupen and 1.3 from Royal Excelsior Virton, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent, KAS Eupen or draw at 80 percent and KAS Eupen (draw no bet) at 64 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
KAS Eupen vs Royal Excelsior Virton: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in KAS Eupen vs Royal Excelsior Virton?
KAS Eupen. Our model gives them a 57% chance of winning, against 20% for Royal Excelsior Virton and 23% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 58%. Both teams scored in 8 of KAS Eupen's last 10 and 6 of Royal Excelsior Virton's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 60%, with expected goals of 1.8 for KAS Eupen and 1.3 for Royal Excelsior Virton.
When is KAS Eupen vs Royal Excelsior Virton?
Sunday 1 November, 21:15 EAT (18:15 UTC). It is a Challenger Pro League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.