Livescore44

J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds Prediction: a narrow Kashiwa Reysol win

Our model makes Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds a narrow Kashiwa Reysol win and low confidence at 51%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Kashiwa Reysol win
Confidencelow (51%)
Market we would callOver 2.5 goals

Model backs Over 2.5 at 62% — combined xG 3.3.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Kashiwa ReysolUrawa Red Diamonds
  • 61Tips44 Power67
  • 63Tips44 Form80
  • 80Tips44 Attack76
  • 40Tips44 Defence44
  • 60Tips44 Goals70

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Urawa Red Diamonds to score90% recent

    Urawa Red Diamonds scored in 9 of their last 10 (19 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Kashiwa Reysol at 51 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from Kashiwa Reysol and 1.4 from Urawa Red Diamonds, a combined 3.3, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 82 percent, Kashiwa Reysol or Urawa Red Diamonds at 77 percent and Kashiwa Reysol (draw no bet) at 66 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Kashiwa Reysol win51%
Draw23%
Urawa Red Diamonds win26%

Expected goals

Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1.91
Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa Red Diamonds1.36

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Kashiwa Reysol. Our model gives them a 51% chance of winning, against 26% for Urawa Red Diamonds and 23% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 60%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 62%, with expected goals of 1.9 for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.4 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

When is Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Saturday 31 October, 10:00 EAT (07:00 UTC). It is a J1 League match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.