Nigeria Premier Football League
Katsina United vs Nasarawa United Prediction: a narrow Katsina United win
Our model makes Katsina United vs Nasarawa United a narrow Katsina United win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and low confidence at 48%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 319 wins and 128 losses from 447 settled picks, a 71.4% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Katsina United or drawDouble chance tips today79%1.27
- Katsina United (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today70%1.43
- Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today15.9%6.29
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 54Tips44 Power58
- 53Tips44 Form57
- 56Tips44 Attack48
- 52Tips44 Defence68
- 40Tips44 Goals30
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Katsina United to score80% recent
Katsina United scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).
- Nasarawa United to score80% recent
Nasarawa United scored in 8 of their last 10 (12 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Katsina United at 48 percent, with the draw at 31 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Katsina United and 0.8 from Nasarawa United, a combined 2.1, which is a low total and argues against the goals markets. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Katsina United or draw at 79 percent and Katsina United (draw no bet) at 70 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 15.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Katsina United1.30
Nasarawa United0.80Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Katsina United vs Nasarawa United: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?
Katsina United. Our model gives them a 48% chance of winning, against 21% for Nasarawa United and 31% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 43%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 36%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Katsina United and 0.8 for Nasarawa United.
When is Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?
Sunday 15 November, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Nigeria Premier Football League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.