Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone Prediction: a narrow Kilmarnock win
Our model makes Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone a narrow Kilmarnock win and low confidence at 46%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Kilmarnock or St. JohnstoneDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today68%1.47
- Kilmarnock (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.6%8.62
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 25Tips44 Power41
- 27Tips44 Form40
- 40Tips44 Attack44
- 8Tips44 Defence40
- 60Tips44 Goals40
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Kilmarnock at 46 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Kilmarnock and 1.2 from St. Johnstone, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Kilmarnock or St. Johnstone at 74 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 68 percent and Kilmarnock (draw no bet) at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone?
Kilmarnock. Our model gives them a 46% chance of winning, against 28% for St. Johnstone and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 55%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 54%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Kilmarnock and 1.2 for St. Johnstone.
When is Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone?
Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Scottish Premiership match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.