Ekstraklasa
KS Cracovia vs Motor Lublin Prediction: a narrow KS Cracovia win
Our model makes KS Cracovia vs Motor Lublin a narrow KS Cracovia win and low confidence at 46%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- KS Cracovia or Motor LublinDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- KS Cracovia (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today64%1.56
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.9%9.17
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 36Tips44 Power53
- 27Tips44 Form50
- 60Tips44 Attack64
- 20Tips44 Defence44
- 70Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- KS Cracovia to score90% recent
KS Cracovia scored in 9 of their last 10 (15 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 78%
9 of KS Cracovia's last 10 and 8 of Motor Lublin's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Motor Lublin to score80% recent
Motor Lublin scored in 8 of their last 10 (16 goals).
- Both teams to score75% recent · model 59%
Both teams scored in 9 of KS Cracovia's last 10 and 6 of Motor Lublin's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has KS Cracovia at 46 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from KS Cracovia and 1.3 from Motor Lublin, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: KS Cracovia or Motor Lublin at 74 percent, KS Cracovia (draw no bet) at 64 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 61 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
KS Cracovia vs Motor Lublin: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in KS Cracovia vs Motor Lublin?
KS Cracovia. Our model gives them a 46% chance of winning, against 28% for Motor Lublin and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 59%. Both teams scored in 9 of KS Cracovia's last 10 and 6 of Motor Lublin's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 56%, with expected goals of 1.7 for KS Cracovia and 1.3 for Motor Lublin.
When is KS Cracovia vs Motor Lublin?
Friday 30 October, 20:00 EAT (17:00 UTC). It is a Ekstraklasa match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.