Veikkausliiga
Kuopion Palloseura vs IF Gnistan Prediction: a narrow Kuopion Palloseura win
Our model makes Kuopion Palloseura vs IF Gnistan a narrow Kuopion Palloseura win and moderate confidence at 64%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Kuopion Palloseura favoured at 64% — model xG 1.6 vs 1.0.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Kuopion Palloseura or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Kuopion Palloseura (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today70%1.43
- Kuopion Palloseura to winMatch result tips today64%1.56
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.9%8.40
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 39Tips44 Power44
- 30Tips44 Form43
- 36Tips44 Attack56
- 52Tips44 Defence32
- 20Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Kuopion Palloseura at 64 percent, with the draw at 21 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Kuopion Palloseura and 1.0 from IF Gnistan, a combined 2.6, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Kuopion Palloseura or draw at 85 percent, Kuopion Palloseura (draw no bet) at 70 percent and Kuopion Palloseura to win at 64 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Kuopion Palloseura vs IF Gnistan: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Kuopion Palloseura vs IF Gnistan?
Kuopion Palloseura. Our model gives them a 64% chance of winning, against 15% for IF Gnistan and 21% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 53%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 58%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Kuopion Palloseura and 1.0 for IF Gnistan.
When is Kuopion Palloseura vs IF Gnistan?
Thursday 29 October, 20:00 EAT (17:00 UTC). It is a Veikkausliiga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.