Pro League
KV Mechelen vs KRC Genk Prediction: a narrow KRC Genk win
Our model makes KV Mechelen vs KRC Genk a narrow KRC Genk win and low confidence at 50%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- KV Mechelen or KRC GenkDouble chance tips today75%1.33
- KRC Genk (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today65%1.54
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.0%9.09
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 29Tips44 Power55
- 23Tips44 Form50
- 44Tips44 Attack76
- 20Tips44 Defence40
- 50Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- KRC Genk to score80% recent
KRC Genk scored in 8 of their last 10 (19 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has KRC Genk at 50 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from KV Mechelen and 1.7 from KRC Genk, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: KV Mechelen or KRC Genk at 75 percent, KRC Genk (draw no bet) at 65 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 61 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
KV Mechelen vs KRC Genk: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in KV Mechelen vs KRC Genk?
KRC Genk. Our model gives them a 50% chance of winning, against 26% for KV Mechelen and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 57%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 56%, with expected goals of 1.3 for KV Mechelen and 1.7 for KRC Genk.
When is KV Mechelen vs KRC Genk?
Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Pro League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.