Livescore44

J1 League

Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction: a narrow Kyoto Sanga win

Our model makes Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse a narrow Kyoto Sanga win and low confidence at 52%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Kyoto Sanga win
Confidencelow (52%)
Market we would callOver 2.5 goals

Model backs Over 2.5 at 63% — combined xG 3.3.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Kyoto SangaShimizu S-Pulse
  • 41Tips44 Power35
  • 40Tips44 Form40
  • 48Tips44 Attack40
  • 36Tips44 Defence24
  • 60Tips44 Goals60

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Kyoto Sanga FC at 52 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from Kyoto Sanga FC and 1.4 from Shimizu S-Pulse, a combined 3.3, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 83 percent, Kyoto Sanga FC or Shimizu S-Pulse at 77 percent and Kyoto Sanga FC (draw no bet) at 67 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Kyoto Sanga win52%
Draw23%
Shimizu S-Pulse win26%

Expected goals

Kyoto Sanga FCKyoto Sanga FC1.93
Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse1.37

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Kyoto Sanga. Our model gives them a 52% chance of winning, against 26% for Shimizu S-Pulse and 23% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 63%, with expected goals of 1.9 for Kyoto Sanga and 1.4 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

When is Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Saturday 31 October, 08:00 EAT (05:00 UTC). It is a J1 League match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.