Livescore44

Coupe de France

Lannion vs Guingamp Prediction: a narrow Guingamp win

Our model makes Lannion vs Guingamp a narrow Guingamp win and low confidence at 52%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Guingamp win
Confidencelow (52%)
Market we would callOver 2.5 goals

Model backs Over 2.5 at 64% — combined xG 3.4.

How we pick

A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 319 wins and 128 losses from 447 settled picks, a 71.4% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Guingamp at 52 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Lannion and 2.0 from Guingamp, a combined 3.4, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 84 percent, Lannion or Guingamp at 78 percent and Guingamp (draw no bet) at 67 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Lannion win26%
Draw22%
Guingamp win52%

Expected goals

Lannion crestLannion1.41
Guingamp crestGuingamp1.96

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Lannion vs Guingamp: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Lannion vs Guingamp?

Guingamp. Our model gives them a 52% chance of winning, against 26% for Lannion and 22% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 64%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Lannion and 2.0 for Guingamp.

When is Lannion vs Guingamp?

Saturday 14 November, 21:00 EAT (18:00 UTC). It is a Coupe de France match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.