Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction: a Paris Saint-Germain win
Our model makes Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain a Paris Saint-Germain win, with a most likely score of 0-2 and high confidence at 77%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Paris Saint-Germain favoured at 77% — model xG 1.0 vs 2.1.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 310 wins and 145 losses from 455 settled picks, a 68.1% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Paris Saint-Germain or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- Paris Saint-Germain (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today82%1.22
- Paris Saint-Germain to winMatch result tips today77%1.30
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today71%1.41
- Correct score 0-2Correct score tips today9.9%10.10
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 41Tips44 Power78
- 27Tips44 Form83
- 60Tips44 Attack100
- 36Tips44 Defence52
- 50Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Players to watch
- Achraf Hakimi (Paris Saint-Germain)
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (Paris Saint-Germain)
- Ousmane Dembélé (Paris Saint-Germain)
What the last 10 matches say
- Paris Saint-Germain to score100% recent
Paris Saint-Germain scored in 10 of their last 10 (28 goals).
- Both teams to score70% recent · model 55%
Both teams scored in 6 of Le Havre's last 10 and 8 of Paris Saint-Germain's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Paris Saint-Germain at 77 percent, with the draw at 14 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.0 goals from Le Havre and 2.1 from Paris Saint-Germain, a combined 3.1, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Paris Saint-Germain or draw at 85 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent and Paris Saint-Germain (draw no bet) at 82 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 0-2, though at 9.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Paris Saint-Germain. Our model gives them a 77% chance of winning, against 9% for Le Havre and 14% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
0-2 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 55%. Both teams scored in 6 of Le Havre's last 10 and 8 of Paris Saint-Germain's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 71%, with expected goals of 1.0 for Le Havre and 2.1 for Paris Saint-Germain.
When is Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Friday 30 October, 21:00 EAT (18:00 UTC). It is a Ligue 1 match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.