Premier League
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction: a narrow Leeds United win
Our model makes Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur a narrow Leeds United win and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Leeds United (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today68%1.47
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today64%1.56
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.4%8.77
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 44Tips44 Power57
- 37Tips44 Form50
- 52Tips44 Attack64
- 44Tips44 Defence56
- 30Tips44 Goals40
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Players to watch
- Mohammed Kudus (Tottenham Hotspur)
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 38 percent Leeds United, 28 percent the draw and 34 percent Tottenham Hotspur. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from Leeds United and 1.1 from Tottenham Hotspur, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Leeds United (draw no bet) at 68 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 64 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Leeds United1.68
Tottenham Hotspur1.15Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Leeds United. Our model gives them a 38% chance of winning, against 34% for Tottenham Hotspur and 28% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 55%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 50%, with expected goals of 1.7 for Leeds United and 1.1 for Tottenham Hotspur.
When is Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Saturday 7 November, 15:30 EAT (12:30 UTC). It is a Premier League match.
Where can I watch Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Our guide "How to watch the Premier League in Kenya" lists the channels and streaming services that carry it, country by country. Open the guide.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.