Ligue 1
Lorient vs Stade Brestois Prediction: a narrow Lorient win
Our model makes Lorient vs Stade Brestois a narrow Lorient win and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 310 wins and 145 losses from 455 settled picks, a 68.1% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Lorient (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today71%1.41
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.9%9.17
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 43Tips44 Power44
- 40Tips44 Form33
- 36Tips44 Attack64
- 52Tips44 Defence36
- 50Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Lorient to score80% recent
Lorient scored in 8 of their last 10 (9 goals).
- Stade Brestois to score80% recent
Stade Brestois scored in 8 of their last 10 (16 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 38 percent Lorient, 28 percent the draw and 34 percent Stade Brestois. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from Lorient and 1.1 from Stade Brestois, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Lorient (draw no bet) at 71 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Lorient vs Stade Brestois: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Lorient vs Stade Brestois?
Lorient. Our model gives them a 38% chance of winning, against 34% for Stade Brestois and 28% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 54%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48%, with expected goals of 1.8 for Lorient and 1.1 for Stade Brestois.
When is Lorient vs Stade Brestois?
Monday 2 November, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a Ligue 1 match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.