MLS
Los Angeles vs Minnesota United Prediction: a narrow Los Angeles win
Our model makes Los Angeles vs Minnesota United a narrow Los Angeles win and low confidence at 59%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Los Angeles FC favoured at 59% — model xG 2.0 vs 1.1.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Los Angeles FC or drawDouble chance tips today81%1.23
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today80%1.25
- Los Angeles FC (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today75%1.33
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today70%1.43
- Los Angeles FC to winMatch result tips today59%1.69
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.1%9.90
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 48Tips44 Power34
- 40Tips44 Form23
- 56Tips44 Attack80
- 48Tips44 Defence0
- 50Tips44 Goals90
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Minnesota United to score90% recent
Minnesota United scored in 9 of their last 10 (20 goals).
- Both teams to score80% recent · model 56%
Both teams scored in 7 of Los Angeles's last 10 and 9 of Minnesota United's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today - Los Angeles to score80% recent
Los Angeles scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals70% recent · model 58%
5 of Los Angeles's last 10 and 9 of Minnesota United's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 2.7 and 4.6 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Los Angeles FC at 59 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 2.0 goals from Los Angeles FC and 1.1 from Minnesota United, a combined 3.1, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Los Angeles FC or draw at 81 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 80 percent and Los Angeles FC (draw no bet) at 75 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.1 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Los Angeles vs Minnesota United: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Los Angeles vs Minnesota United?
Los Angeles. Our model gives them a 59% chance of winning, against 19% for Minnesota United and 22% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 56%. Both teams scored in 7 of Los Angeles's last 10 and 9 of Minnesota United's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 58%, with expected goals of 2.0 for Los Angeles and 1.1 for Minnesota United.
When is Los Angeles vs Minnesota United?
Monday 2 November, 04:30 EAT (01:30 UTC). It is a MLS match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.