MLS
Los Angeles vs Minnesota United Prediction: a narrow Los Angeles win
Our model makes Los Angeles vs Minnesota United a narrow Los Angeles win and low confidence at 56%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 62% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.9 / 1.1).
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today80%1.25
- Los Angeles FC or drawDouble chance tips today78%1.28
- Los Angeles FC (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today74%1.35
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today71%1.41
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today62%1.61
- Los Angeles FC to winMatch result tips today56%1.79
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.1%9.90
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 48Tips44 Power38
- 40Tips44 Form30
- 56Tips44 Attack80
- 48Tips44 Defence4
- 50Tips44 Goals90
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Minnesota United to score90% recent
Minnesota United scored in 9 of their last 10 (20 goals).
- Both teams to score80% recent · model 62%
Both teams scored in 7 of Los Angeles's last 10 and 9 of Minnesota United's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today - Los Angeles to score80% recent
Los Angeles scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals70% recent · model 59%
5 of Los Angeles's last 10 and 9 of Minnesota United's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 2.7 and 4.4 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Los Angeles FC at 56 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from Los Angeles FC and 1.1 from Minnesota United, a combined 3.1, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 80 percent, Los Angeles FC or draw at 78 percent and Los Angeles FC (draw no bet) at 74 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.1 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Los Angeles FC1.95
Minnesota United1.15Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Los Angeles vs Minnesota United: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Los Angeles vs Minnesota United?
Los Angeles. Our model gives them a 56% chance of winning, against 22% for Minnesota United and 22% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 62%. Both teams scored in 7 of Los Angeles's last 10 and 9 of Minnesota United's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 59%, with expected goals of 1.9 for Los Angeles and 1.1 for Minnesota United.
When is Los Angeles vs Minnesota United?
Monday 2 November, 04:30 EAT (01:30 UTC). It is a MLS match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.