USL Championship
Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction: a narrow Louisville City win
Our model makes Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds a narrow Louisville City win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and low confidence at 51%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Louisville City FC or drawDouble chance tips today79%1.27
- Louisville City FC (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today70%1.43
- Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today13.4%7.46
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 59Tips44 Power51
- 53Tips44 Form50
- 60Tips44 Attack40
- 64Tips44 Defence64
- 50Tips44 Goals40
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Louisville City to score80% recent
Louisville City scored in 8 of their last 10 (15 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Louisville City FC at 51 percent, with the draw at 28 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from Louisville City FC and 0.9 from Pittsburgh Riverhounds, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Louisville City FC or draw at 79 percent and Louisville City FC (draw no bet) at 70 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 13.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Louisville City. Our model gives them a 51% chance of winning, against 21% for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 28% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 48%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 44%, with expected goals of 1.5 for Louisville City and 0.9 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
When is Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Saturday 31 October, 01:30 EAT (22:30 UTC). It is a USL Championship match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.