Segunda División
Mallorca vs Cádiz Prediction: a narrow Mallorca win
Our model makes Mallorca vs Cádiz a narrow Mallorca win and moderate confidence at 62%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Mallorca favoured at 62%, with model xG of 1.5 vs 1.0.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Mallorca or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Mallorca (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today70%1.43
- Mallorca to winMatch result tips today62%1.61
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.2%8.20
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 58Tips44 Power48
- 53Tips44 Form37
- 44Tips44 Attack60
- 76Tips44 Defence48
- 20Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Mallorca at 62 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from Mallorca and 1.0 from Cádiz, a combined 2.5, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Mallorca or draw at 85 percent, Mallorca (draw no bet) at 70 percent and Mallorca to win at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Mallorca1.52
Cádiz0.96Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Mallorca vs Cádiz: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Mallorca vs Cádiz?
Mallorca. Our model gives them a 62% chance of winning, against 15% for Cádiz and 23% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 47%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49%, with expected goals of 1.5 for Mallorca and 1.0 for Cádiz.
When is Mallorca vs Cádiz?
Monday 2 November, 23:00 EAT (20:00 UTC). It is a Segunda División match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.