Categoría Primera A
Millonarios vs América de Cali Prediction: a narrow Millonarios win
Our model makes Millonarios vs América de Cali a narrow Millonarios win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and low confidence at 49%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Millonarios or drawDouble chance tips today78%1.28
- Millonarios (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today68%1.47
- Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today13.7%7.30
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 60Tips44 Power72
- 53Tips44 Form67
- 68Tips44 Attack80
- 60Tips44 Defence68
- 40Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Millonarios to score100% recent
Millonarios scored in 10 of their last 10 (17 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals90% recent · model 68%
10 of Millonarios's last 10 and 8 of América de Cali's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - América de Cali to score90% recent
América de Cali scored in 9 of their last 10 (20 goals).
- Both teams to score75% recent · model 47%
Both teams scored in 9 of Millonarios's last 10 and 6 of América de Cali's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Millonarios at 49 percent, with the draw at 29 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Millonarios and 0.9 from América de Cali, a combined 2.3, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Millonarios or draw at 78 percent and Millonarios (draw no bet) at 68 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 13.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Millonarios vs América de Cali: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Millonarios vs América de Cali?
Millonarios. Our model gives them a 49% chance of winning, against 22% for América de Cali and 29% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 47%. Both teams scored in 9 of Millonarios's last 10 and 6 of América de Cali's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 42%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Millonarios and 0.9 for América de Cali.
When is Millonarios vs América de Cali?
Tuesday 27 October, 04:00 EAT (01:00 UTC). It is a Categoría Primera A match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.