J1 League
Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction: a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Our model makes Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win, with a most likely score of 1-2 and moderate confidence at 70%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima favoured at 70% — model xG 1.1 vs 2.4.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today84%1.19
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today84%1.19
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima to winMatch result tips today70%1.43
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today65%1.54
- Correct score 1-2Correct score tips today9.6%10.42
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 22Tips44 Power80
- 17Tips44 Form73
- 28Tips44 Attack100
- 20Tips44 Defence68
- 30Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score80% recent
Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored in 8 of their last 10 (25 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 70 percent, with the draw at 17 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.1 goals from Mito Hollyhock and 2.4 from Sanfrecce Hiroshima, a combined 3.4, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw at 85 percent, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet) at 84 percent and Over 1.5 goals at 84 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-2, though at 9.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Our model gives them a 70% chance of winning, against 13% for Mito Hollyhock and 17% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-2 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 57%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 65%, with expected goals of 1.1 for Mito Hollyhock and 2.4 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
When is Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Saturday 31 October, 08:00 EAT (05:00 UTC). It is a J1 League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.