Scottish Premiership
Motherwell vs St. Mirren Prediction: a narrow Motherwell win
Our model makes Motherwell vs St. Mirren a narrow Motherwell win and low confidence at 55%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Motherwell or drawDouble chance tips today80%1.25
- Motherwell (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today73%1.37
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today65%1.54
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.3%8.85
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Motherwell at 55 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from Motherwell and 1.0 from St. Mirren, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Motherwell or draw at 80 percent, Motherwell (draw no bet) at 73 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 65 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Motherwell vs St. Mirren: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Motherwell vs St. Mirren?
Motherwell. Our model gives them a 55% chance of winning, against 21% for St. Mirren and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 52%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 51%, with expected goals of 1.7 for Motherwell and 1.0 for St. Mirren.
When is Motherwell vs St. Mirren?
Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Scottish Premiership match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.