International Friendly Games
Myanmar vs Bhutan Prediction: a Myanmar win
Our model makes Myanmar vs Bhutan a Myanmar win, with a most likely score of 2-1 and moderate confidence at 69%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Myanmar favoured at 69%, with model xG of 2.4 vs 1.1.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 319 wins and 128 losses from 447 settled picks, a 71.4% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Myanmar or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- Myanmar (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today83%1.20
- Myanmar to winMatch result tips today69%1.45
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today67%1.49
- Correct score 2-1Correct score tips today9.5%10.53
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Myanmar at 69 percent, with the draw at 17 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.4 goals from Myanmar and 1.1 from Bhutan, a combined 3.5, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Myanmar or draw at 85 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent and Myanmar (draw no bet) at 83 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 9.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Myanmar2.42
Bhutan1.12Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Myanmar vs Bhutan: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Myanmar vs Bhutan?
Myanmar. Our model gives them a 69% chance of winning, against 14% for Bhutan and 17% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-1 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 59%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 67%, with expected goals of 2.4 for Myanmar and 1.1 for Bhutan.
When is Myanmar vs Bhutan?
Thursday 12 November, 15:00 EAT (12:00 UTC). It is a International Friendly Games match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.