Nigeria Premier Football League
Nasarawa United vs Plateau United Prediction: a narrow Nasarawa United win
Our model makes Nasarawa United vs Plateau United a narrow Nasarawa United win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and low confidence at 60%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Nasarawa United favoured at 60%, with model xG of 1.6 vs 0.7.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Nasarawa United or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Nasarawa United (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today81%1.23
- Nasarawa United to winMatch result tips today60%1.67
- Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today16.3%6.13
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 56Tips44 Power59
- 57Tips44 Form53
- 40Tips44 Attack72
- 72Tips44 Defence52
- 20Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Plateau United to score90% recent
Plateau United scored in 9 of their last 10 (18 goals).
- Nasarawa United to score80% recent
Nasarawa United scored in 8 of their last 10 (10 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Nasarawa United at 60 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Nasarawa United and 0.7 from Plateau United, a combined 2.3, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Nasarawa United or draw at 85 percent, Nasarawa United (draw no bet) at 81 percent and Nasarawa United to win at 60 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 16.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Nasarawa United1.58
Plateau United0.69Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Nasarawa United vs Plateau United: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Nasarawa United vs Plateau United?
Nasarawa United. Our model gives them a 60% chance of winning, against 14% for Plateau United and 26% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 43%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 40%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Nasarawa United and 0.7 for Plateau United.
When is Nasarawa United vs Plateau United?
Sunday 8 November, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Nigeria Premier Football League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.