MLS
Nashville vs New York Red Bulls Prediction: a Nashville win
Our model makes Nashville vs New York Red Bulls a Nashville win, with a most likely score of 2-1 and moderate confidence at 62%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 65% — combined xG 3.1.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today84%1.19
- Nashville SC or drawDouble chance tips today82%1.22
- Nashville SC (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today81%1.23
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today65%1.54
- Nashville SC to winMatch result tips today62%1.61
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today62%1.61
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 2-1Correct score tips today9.9%10.10
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 72Tips44 Power45
- 63Tips44 Form43
- 76Tips44 Attack44
- 76Tips44 Defence48
- 50Tips44 Goals40
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Nashville to score80% recent
Nashville scored in 8 of their last 10 (19 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Nashville SC at 62 percent, with the draw at 20 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.1 goals from Nashville SC and 1.0 from New York Red Bulls, a combined 3.1, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Seven markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 84 percent, Nashville SC or draw at 82 percent and Nashville SC (draw no bet) at 81 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 9.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Nashville SC2.13
New York Red Bulls1.02Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Nashville vs New York Red Bulls: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Nashville vs New York Red Bulls?
Nashville. Our model gives them a 62% chance of winning, against 18% for New York Red Bulls and 20% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-1 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 62%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 65%, with expected goals of 2.1 for Nashville and 1.0 for New York Red Bulls.
When is Nashville vs New York Red Bulls?
Monday 2 November, 00:30 EAT (21:30 UTC). It is a MLS match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.