International Friendly Games
New Zealand vs India Prediction: a New Zealand win
Our model makes New Zealand vs India a New Zealand win, with a most likely score of 2-0 and moderate confidence at 69%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
New Zealand favoured at 69%, with model xG of 2.5 vs 0.9.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 319 wins and 128 losses from 447 settled picks, a 71.4% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- New Zealand or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- New Zealand (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today84%1.19
- New Zealand to winMatch result tips today69%1.45
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today64%1.56
- Correct score 2-0Correct score tips today10.4%9.62
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 27Tips44 Power11
- 22Tips44 Form10
- 49Tips44 Attack23
- 11Tips44 Defence0
- 78Tips44 Goals43
Out of 100, from each team's last 7 to 9 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals88% recent · model 84%
8 of New Zealand's last 9 and 6 of India's last 7 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has New Zealand at 69 percent, with the draw at 19 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.5 goals from New Zealand and 0.9 from India, a combined 3.4, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by New Zealand or draw at 85 percent, New Zealand (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Over 1.5 goals at 84 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-0, though at 10.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
New Zealand vs India: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in New Zealand vs India?
New Zealand. Our model gives them a 69% chance of winning, against 12% for India and 19% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 54%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 64%, with expected goals of 2.5 for New Zealand and 0.9 for India.
When is New Zealand vs India?
Sunday 15 November, 06:00 EAT (03:00 UTC). It is a International Friendly Games match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.