Premier League
Newcastle United vs Everton Prediction: a narrow Newcastle United win
Our model makes Newcastle United vs Everton a narrow Newcastle United win and low confidence at 40%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Newcastle United or EvertonDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today68%1.47
- Newcastle United (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.9%8.40
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 48Tips44 Power56
- 53Tips44 Form53
- 60Tips44 Attack56
- 32Tips44 Defence60
- 60Tips44 Goals40
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Players to watch
- Yoane Wissa (Newcastle United)
What the last 10 matches say
- Newcastle United to score90% recent
Newcastle United scored in 9 of their last 10 (15 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 40 percent Newcastle United, 27 percent the draw and 33 percent Everton. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Newcastle United and 1.2 from Everton, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Newcastle United or Everton at 73 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 68 percent and Newcastle United (draw no bet) at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Newcastle United1.56
Everton1.19Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Newcastle United vs Everton: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Newcastle United vs Everton?
Newcastle United. Our model gives them a 40% chance of winning, against 33% for Everton and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 60%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 56%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Newcastle United and 1.2 for Everton.
When is Newcastle United vs Everton?
Monday 2 November, 23:00 EAT (20:00 UTC). It is a Premier League match.
Where can I watch Newcastle United vs Everton?
Our guide "How to watch the Premier League in Kenya" lists the channels and streaming services that carry it, country by country. Open the guide.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.