Premier League
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Prediction: a narrow Manchester City win
Our model makes Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City a narrow Manchester City win and low confidence at 50%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Manchester City or drawDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- Manchester City (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today67%1.49
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.7%8.55
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 29Tips44 Power68
- 20Tips44 Form63
- 24Tips44 Attack100
- 44Tips44 Defence40
- 30Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Players to watch
- Antoine Semenyo (Manchester City)
- Iliman Ndiaye (Manchester City)
- Erling Haaland (Manchester City)
- Phil Foden (Manchester City)
- Jérémy Doku (Manchester City)
What the last 10 matches say
- Manchester City to score90% recent
Manchester City scored in 9 of their last 10 (27 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Manchester City at 50 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.1 goals from Nottingham Forest and 1.6 from Manchester City, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Manchester City or draw at 76 percent, Manchester City (draw no bet) at 67 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 61 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Nottingham Forest1.13
Manchester City1.63Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Manchester City. Our model gives them a 50% chance of winning, against 24% for Nottingham Forest and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 54%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 52%, with expected goals of 1.1 for Nottingham Forest and 1.6 for Manchester City.
When is Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Saturday 7 November, 20:30 EAT (17:30 UTC). It is a Premier League match.
Where can I watch Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Our guide "How to watch the Premier League in Kenya" lists the channels and streaming services that carry it, country by country. Open the guide.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.