League Two
Oldham Athletic vs Crawley Town Prediction: a narrow Oldham Athletic win
Our model makes Oldham Athletic vs Crawley Town a narrow Oldham Athletic win and low confidence at 58%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Oldham Athletic favoured at 58% — model xG 1.8 vs 0.9.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Oldham Athletic or drawDouble chance tips today82%1.22
- Oldham Athletic (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today76%1.32
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today69%1.45
- Oldham Athletic to winMatch result tips today58%1.72
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.2%8.93
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 37Tips44 Power29
- 30Tips44 Form20
- 44Tips44 Attack48
- 36Tips44 Defence20
- 50Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals95% recent · model 74%
9 of Oldham Athletic's last 10 and 10 of Crawley Town's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Crawley Town to score80% recent
Crawley Town scored in 8 of their last 10 (12 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Oldham Athletic at 58 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from Oldham Athletic and 0.9 from Crawley Town, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Oldham Athletic or draw at 82 percent, Oldham Athletic (draw no bet) at 76 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 69 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Oldham Athletic vs Crawley Town: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Oldham Athletic vs Crawley Town?
Oldham Athletic. Our model gives them a 58% chance of winning, against 18% for Crawley Town and 24% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 51%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 50%, with expected goals of 1.8 for Oldham Athletic and 0.9 for Crawley Town.
When is Oldham Athletic vs Crawley Town?
Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a League Two match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.