Livescore44

Puchar Polski

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza Prediction: a narrow Olimpia Grudziądz win

Our model makes Olimpia Grudziądz vs Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza a narrow Olimpia Grudziądz win, with a most likely score of 2-1 and low confidence at 54%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Olimpia Grudziądz win
Predicted score2-1
Confidencelow (54%)
Market we would callOver 2.5 goals

Model backs Over 2.5 at 75% — combined xG 4.1.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Olimpia GrudziądzBruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza
  • 74Tips44 Power84
  • 89Tips44 Form93
  • 100Tips44 Attack100
  • 33Tips44 Defence60
  • 100Tips44 Goals80

Out of 100, from each team's last 6 to 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Olimpia Grudziądz to score100% recent

    Olimpia Grudziądz scored in 6 of their last 6 (21 goals).

  • Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza to score100% recent

    Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza scored in 10 of their last 10 (32 goals).

  • Over 2.5 goals88% recent · model 75%

    6 of Olimpia Grudziądz's last 6 and 8 of Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 5.2 and 4.2 a game).

    More over 2.5 goals picks today

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Olimpia Grudziądz at 54 percent, with the draw at 19 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 2.4 goals from Olimpia Grudziądz and 1.7 from Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza, a combined 4.1, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, Olimpia Grudziądz or Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza at 81 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 75 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 8.1 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Olimpia Grudziądz win54%
Draw19%
Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza win27%

Expected goals

Olimpia GrudziądzOlimpia Grudziądz2.38
Bruk-Bet Termalica NiecieczaBruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza1.72

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Olimpia Grudziądz vs Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza?

Olimpia Grudziądz. Our model gives them a 54% chance of winning, against 27% for Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza and 19% for the draw.

What is the predicted score?

2-1 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 69%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 75%, with expected goals of 2.4 for Olimpia Grudziądz and 1.7 for Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza.

When is Olimpia Grudziądz vs Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza?

Tuesday 27 October, 14:30 EAT (11:30 UTC). It is a Puchar Polski match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.