Ligue 1
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction: a narrow Olympique de Marseille win
Our model makes Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse a narrow Olympique de Marseille win and low confidence at 48%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 63% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.9 / 1.3).
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today82%1.22
- Olympique de Marseille or ToulouseDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- Olympique de Marseille (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today67%1.49
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today63%1.59
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.1%9.90
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 38Tips44 Power43
- 30Tips44 Form33
- 60Tips44 Attack60
- 24Tips44 Defence36
- 50Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Olympique de Marseille at 48 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from Olympique de Marseille and 1.3 from Toulouse, a combined 3.2, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 82 percent, Olympique de Marseille or Toulouse at 76 percent and Olympique de Marseille (draw no bet) at 67 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.1 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Olympique de Marseille1.88
Toulouse1.32Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse?
Olympique de Marseille. Our model gives them a 48% chance of winning, against 28% for Toulouse and 24% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 63%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 62%, with expected goals of 1.9 for Olympique de Marseille and 1.3 for Toulouse.
When is Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse?
Sunday 1 November, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a Ligue 1 match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.