Livescore44

League One

Oxford United vs Stockport County Prediction: a narrow Stockport County win

Our model makes Oxford United vs Stockport County a narrow Stockport County win, with a most likely score of 1-1 and low confidence at 47%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Stockport County win
Predicted score1-1
Confidencelow (47%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 241 wins and 121 losses from 362 settled picks, a 66.6% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Stockport County at 47 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.2 goals from Oxford United and 1.5 from Stockport County, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Oxford United or Stockport County at 75 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 72 percent and Stockport County (draw no bet) at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Oxford United win28%
Draw25%
Stockport County win47%

Expected goals

Oxford UnitedOxford United1.16
Stockport CountyStockport County1.53

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.