Copa del Rey
Pamplona vs Eibar Prediction: a narrow Eibar win
Our model makes Pamplona vs Eibar a narrow Eibar win and high confidence at 78%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Eibar favoured at 78%.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Eibar or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Eibar (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today82%1.22
- Eibar to winMatch result tips today78%1.28
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today62%1.61
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Eibar at 78 percent, with the draw at 14 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Eibar or draw at 85 percent, Eibar (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Over 1.5 goals at 82 percent. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Pamplona vs Eibar: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Pamplona vs Eibar?
Eibar. Our model gives them a 78% chance of winning, against 8% for Pamplona and 14% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 44%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 62%, with expected goals of 0.0 for Pamplona and 0.0 for Eibar.
When is Pamplona vs Eibar?
Tuesday 3 November, 21:00 EAT (18:00 UTC). It is a Copa del Rey match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.