Stoiximan Super League
PAOK vs Asteras Aktor Prediction: a PAOK win
Our model makes PAOK vs Asteras Aktor a PAOK win, with a most likely score of 2-0 and moderate confidence at 70%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
PAOK favoured at 70% — model xG 2.1 vs 0.8.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- PAOK or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- PAOK (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
- PAOK to winMatch result tips today70%1.43
- Correct score 2-0Correct score tips today12.3%8.13
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 56Tips44 Power36
- 53Tips44 Form33
- 76Tips44 Attack40
- 40Tips44 Defence36
- 80Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- PAOK to score100% recent
PAOK scored in 10 of their last 10 (19 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 78%
10 of PAOK's last 10 and 7 of Asteras Aktor's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Both teams to score70% recent · model 49%
Both teams scored in 8 of PAOK's last 10 and 6 of Asteras Aktor's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has PAOK at 70 percent, with the draw at 19 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.1 goals from PAOK and 0.8 from Asteras Aktor, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: PAOK or draw at 85 percent, PAOK (draw no bet) at 85 percent and PAOK to win at 70 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-0, though at 12.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
PAOK vs Asteras Aktor: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in PAOK vs Asteras Aktor?
PAOK. Our model gives them a 70% chance of winning, against 11% for Asteras Aktor and 19% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 49%. Both teams scored in 8 of PAOK's last 10 and 6 of Asteras Aktor's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 55%, with expected goals of 2.1 for PAOK and 0.8 for Asteras Aktor.
When is PAOK vs Asteras Aktor?
Sunday 1 November, 20:00 EAT (17:00 UTC). It is a Stoiximan Super League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.