Serie A
Parma vs Bologna Prediction: a narrow Bologna win
Our model makes Parma vs Bologna a narrow Bologna win and low confidence at 49%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Bologna or drawDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- Bologna (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today67%1.49
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.4%8.06
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 23Tips44 Power50
- 17Tips44 Form47
- 20Tips44 Attack56
- 32Tips44 Defence48
- 50Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Bologna at 49 percent, with the draw at 28 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.0 goals from Parma and 1.5 from Bologna, a combined 2.5, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Bologna or draw at 76 percent and Bologna (draw no bet) at 67 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Parma1.02
Bologna1.49Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Parma vs Bologna: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Parma vs Bologna?
Bologna. Our model gives them a 49% chance of winning, against 24% for Parma and 28% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 50%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 46%, with expected goals of 1.0 for Parma and 1.5 for Bologna.
When is Parma vs Bologna?
Saturday 7 November, 20:00 EAT (17:00 UTC). It is a Serie A match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.