Livescore44

Puchar Polski

Piast Gliwice vs Górnik Zabrze Prediction: a narrow Górnik Zabrze win

Our model makes Piast Gliwice vs Górnik Zabrze a narrow Górnik Zabrze win and low confidence at 43%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Górnik Zabrze win
Confidencelow (43%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Piast GliwiceGórnik Zabrze
  • 70Tips44 Power59
  • 67Tips44 Form60
  • 84Tips44 Attack56
  • 60Tips44 Defence60
  • 60Tips44 Goals40

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Piast Gliwice to score100% recent

    Piast Gliwice scored in 10 of their last 10 (21 goals).

  • Over 1.5 goals90% recent · model 79%

    10 of Piast Gliwice's last 10 and 8 of Górnik Zabrze's last 10 had at least two goals.

    More over 1.5 goals picks today
  • Górnik Zabrze to score80% recent

    Górnik Zabrze scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Górnik Zabrze at 43 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Piast Gliwice and 1.7 from Górnik Zabrze, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Piast Gliwice or Górnik Zabrze at 74 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 70 percent and Górnik Zabrze (draw no bet) at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Piast Gliwice win31%
Draw26%
Górnik Zabrze win43%

Expected goals

Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1.31
Górnik ZabrzeGórnik Zabrze1.69

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Piast Gliwice vs Górnik Zabrze: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Piast Gliwice vs Górnik Zabrze?

Górnik Zabrze. Our model gives them a 43% chance of winning, against 31% for Piast Gliwice and 26% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 57%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 57%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Piast Gliwice and 1.7 for Górnik Zabrze.

When is Piast Gliwice vs Górnik Zabrze?

Tuesday 27 October, 22:30 EAT (19:30 UTC). It is a Puchar Polski match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.