Championship
Preston North End vs Southampton Prediction: a narrow Southampton win
Our model makes Preston North End vs Southampton a narrow Southampton win and low confidence at 48%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Preston North End or SouthamptonDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today68%1.47
- Southampton (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today64%1.56
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.6%8.62
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 22Tips44 Power70
- 17Tips44 Form70
- 32Tips44 Attack76
- 16Tips44 Defence64
- 60Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Southampton to score90% recent
Southampton scored in 9 of their last 10 (19 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Southampton at 48 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.2 goals from Preston North End and 1.6 from Southampton, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Preston North End or Southampton at 74 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 68 percent and Southampton (draw no bet) at 64 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Preston North End1.20
Southampton1.61Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Preston North End vs Southampton: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Preston North End vs Southampton?
Southampton. Our model gives them a 48% chance of winning, against 26% for Preston North End and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 55%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 53%, with expected goals of 1.2 for Preston North End and 1.6 for Southampton.
When is Preston North End vs Southampton?
Saturday 7 November, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Championship match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.