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Stoiximan Super League

PS Kalamata vs POT Iraklis Prediction: a narrow PS Kalamata win

Our model makes PS Kalamata vs POT Iraklis a narrow PS Kalamata win and low confidence at 40%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow PS Kalamata win
Confidencelow (40%)

How we pick

A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
PS KalamataPOT Iraklis
  • 50Tips44 Power43
  • 53Tips44 Form37
  • 68Tips44 Attack44
  • 28Tips44 Defence48
  • 60Tips44 Goals30

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 70%

    8 of PS Kalamata's last 10 and 9 of POT Iraklis's last 10 had at least two goals.

    More over 1.5 goals picks today
  • POT Iraklis to score80% recent

    POT Iraklis scored in 8 of their last 10 (11 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has PS Kalamata at 40 percent, with the draw at 30 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from PS Kalamata and 1.2 from POT Iraklis, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: PS Kalamata (draw no bet) at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

PS Kalamata win40%
Draw30%
POT Iraklis win31%

Expected goals

PS Kalamata crestPS Kalamata1.60
POT Iraklis crestPOT Iraklis1.24

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

PS Kalamata vs POT Iraklis: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in PS Kalamata vs POT Iraklis?

PS Kalamata. Our model gives them a 40% chance of winning, against 31% for POT Iraklis and 30% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 51%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 44%, with expected goals of 1.6 for PS Kalamata and 1.2 for POT Iraklis.

When is PS Kalamata vs POT Iraklis?

Monday 2 November, 20:30 EAT (17:30 UTC). It is a Stoiximan Super League match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.