Championship
Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley Prediction: a narrow Queens Park Rangers win
Our model makes Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley a narrow Queens Park Rangers win and low confidence at 46%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Queens Park Rangers or BurnleyDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Queens Park Rangers (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today67%1.49
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.9%8.40
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 50Tips44 Power38
- 43Tips44 Form27
- 64Tips44 Attack52
- 44Tips44 Defence36
- 60Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Burnley to score90% recent
Burnley scored in 9 of their last 10 (13 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 78%
8 of Queens Park Rangers's last 10 and 9 of Burnley's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Both teams to score70% recent · model 59%
Both teams scored in 6 of Queens Park Rangers's last 10 and 8 of Burnley's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Queens Park Rangers at 46 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Queens Park Rangers and 1.1 from Burnley, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Queens Park Rangers or Burnley at 74 percent, Queens Park Rangers (draw no bet) at 67 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Queens Park Rangers1.58
Burnley1.08Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley?
Queens Park Rangers. Our model gives them a 46% chance of winning, against 29% for Burnley and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 59%. Both teams scored in 6 of Queens Park Rangers's last 10 and 8 of Burnley's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 57%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Queens Park Rangers and 1.1 for Burnley.
When is Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley?
Tuesday 3 November, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a Championship match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.