Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs Augsburg Prediction: a RB Leipzig win
Our model makes RB Leipzig vs Augsburg a RB Leipzig win, with a most likely score of 2-1 and moderate confidence at 65%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 68% — combined xG 3.6.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- RB Leipzig or drawDouble chance tips today84%1.19
- RB Leipzig (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today80%1.25
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today69%1.45
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today68%1.47
- RB Leipzig to winMatch result tips today65%1.54
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 2-1Correct score tips today9.5%10.53
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 61Tips44 Power54
- 60Tips44 Form43
- 92Tips44 Attack96
- 32Tips44 Defence24
- 70Tips44 Goals90
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Augsburg to score100% recent
Augsburg scored in 10 of their last 10 (24 goals).
- RB Leipzig to score90% recent
RB Leipzig scored in 9 of their last 10 (23 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals80% recent · model 68%
7 of RB Leipzig's last 10 and 9 of Augsburg's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 4 and 4.3 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has RB Leipzig at 65 percent, with the draw at 18 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.4 goals from RB Leipzig and 1.2 from FC Augsburg, a combined 3.6, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Seven markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, RB Leipzig or draw at 84 percent and RB Leipzig (draw no bet) at 80 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 9.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
RB Leipzig2.35
FC Augsburg1.23Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
RB Leipzig vs Augsburg: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in RB Leipzig vs Augsburg?
RB Leipzig. Our model gives them a 65% chance of winning, against 17% for Augsburg and 18% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-1 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 68%, with expected goals of 2.4 for RB Leipzig and 1.2 for Augsburg.
When is RB Leipzig vs Augsburg?
Saturday 7 November, 17:30 EAT (14:30 UTC). It is a Bundesliga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.