Ligue 1
RC Lens vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction: a narrow RC Lens win
Our model makes RC Lens vs Olympique de Marseille a narrow RC Lens win and low confidence at 52%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 63% — combined xG 3.3.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today83%1.20
- RC Lens or Olympique de MarseilleDouble chance tips today77%1.30
- RC Lens (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today67%1.49
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today63%1.59
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today9.7%10.31
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 44Tips44 Power47
- 43Tips44 Form40
- 52Tips44 Attack68
- 36Tips44 Defence32
- 70Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has RC Lens at 52 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from RC Lens and 1.4 from Olympique de Marseille, a combined 3.3, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 83 percent, RC Lens or Olympique de Marseille at 77 percent and RC Lens (draw no bet) at 67 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
RC Lens1.94
Olympique de Marseille1.38Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
RC Lens vs Olympique de Marseille: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in RC Lens vs Olympique de Marseille?
RC Lens. Our model gives them a 52% chance of winning, against 26% for Olympique de Marseille and 23% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 63%, with expected goals of 1.9 for RC Lens and 1.4 for Olympique de Marseille.
When is RC Lens vs Olympique de Marseille?
Sunday 8 November, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a Ligue 1 match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.