Ligue 1
RC Strasbourg vs Auxerre Prediction: a narrow RC Strasbourg win
Our model makes RC Strasbourg vs Auxerre a narrow RC Strasbourg win and low confidence at 52%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 60% — combined xG 3.0.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 298 wins and 138 losses from 436 settled picks, a 68.3% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- RC Strasbourg or AuxerreDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- RC Strasbourg (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today69%1.45
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today61%1.64
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today60%1.67
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.8%9.26
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 32Tips44 Power46
- 27Tips44 Form53
- 52Tips44 Attack68
- 16Tips44 Defence16
- 70Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Auxerre to score100% recent
Auxerre scored in 10 of their last 10 (17 goals).
- Both teams to score75% recent · model 60%
Both teams scored in 7 of RC Strasbourg's last 10 and 8 of Auxerre's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today - Over 2.5 goals70% recent · model 60%
7 of RC Strasbourg's last 10 and 7 of Auxerre's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.4 and 3.8 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has RC Strasbourg at 52 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from RC Strasbourg and 1.2 from Auxerre, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent, RC Strasbourg or Auxerre at 76 percent and RC Strasbourg (draw no bet) at 69 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
RC Strasbourg vs Auxerre: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in RC Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
RC Strasbourg. Our model gives them a 52% chance of winning, against 24% for Auxerre and 24% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 60%. Both teams scored in 7 of RC Strasbourg's last 10 and 8 of Auxerre's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 60%, with expected goals of 1.8 for RC Strasbourg and 1.2 for Auxerre.
When is RC Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
Sunday 1 November, 17:00 EAT (14:00 UTC). It is a Ligue 1 match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.