Segunda División
Real Oviedo vs Las Palmas Prediction: a narrow Real Oviedo win
Our model makes Real Oviedo vs Las Palmas a narrow Real Oviedo win and low confidence at 54%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Real Oviedo or drawDouble chance tips today79%1.27
- Real Oviedo (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today63%1.59
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.3%8.13
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 59Tips44 Power33
- 60Tips44 Form30
- 72Tips44 Attack44
- 44Tips44 Defence24
- 70Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Real Oviedo to score90% recent
Real Oviedo scored in 9 of their last 10 (18 goals).
- Las Palmas to score80% recent
Las Palmas scored in 8 of their last 10 (11 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Real Oviedo at 54 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from Real Oviedo and 1.1 from UD Las Palmas, a combined 2.6, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Real Oviedo or draw at 79 percent, Real Oviedo (draw no bet) at 63 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 61 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Real Oviedo1.48
UD Las Palmas1.12Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Real Oviedo vs Las Palmas: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Real Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
Real Oviedo. Our model gives them a 54% chance of winning, against 21% for Las Palmas and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 51%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49%, with expected goals of 1.5 for Real Oviedo and 1.1 for Las Palmas.
When is Real Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
Monday 2 November, 18:15 EAT (15:15 UTC). It is a Segunda División match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.