Brasileirão Serie A
Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos Prediction: a narrow Red Bull Bragantino win
Our model makes Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos a narrow Red Bull Bragantino win and low confidence at 50%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Red Bull Bragantino or drawDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today73%1.37
- Red Bull Bragantino (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.8%8.47
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 42Tips44 Power57
- 30Tips44 Form60
- 56Tips44 Attack64
- 40Tips44 Defence48
- 50Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals90% recent · model 78%
9 of Red Bull Bragantino's last 10 and 9 of Santos's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Santos to score90% recent
Santos scored in 9 of their last 10 (16 goals).
- Red Bull Bragantino to score80% recent
Red Bull Bragantino scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).
- Both teams to score75% recent · model 56%
Both teams scored in 7 of Red Bull Bragantino's last 10 and 8 of Santos's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Red Bull Bragantino at 50 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Red Bull Bragantino and 1.2 from Santos, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Red Bull Bragantino or draw at 76 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 73 percent and Red Bull Bragantino (draw no bet) at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Red Bull Bragantino1.57
Santos1.20Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos?
Red Bull Bragantino. Our model gives them a 50% chance of winning, against 24% for Santos and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 56%. Both teams scored in 7 of Red Bull Bragantino's last 10 and 8 of Santos's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 54%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Red Bull Bragantino and 1.2 for Santos.
When is Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos?
Tuesday 3 November, 02:00 EAT (23:00 UTC). It is a Brasileirão Serie A match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.