Livescore44

Ligue 2

Red Star vs Nancy Prediction: a narrow Red Star win

Our model makes Red Star vs Nancy a narrow Red Star win and low confidence at 46%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Red Star win
Confidencelow (46%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Red StarNancy
  • 54Tips44 Power57
  • 57Tips44 Form60
  • 52Tips44 Attack52
  • 52Tips44 Defence60
  • 50Tips44 Goals40

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Red Star to score80% recent

    Red Star scored in 8 of their last 10 (13 goals).

  • Nancy to score80% recent

    Nancy scored in 8 of their last 10 (13 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Red Star FC at 46 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Red Star FC and 1.2 from Nancy, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Red Star FC or Nancy at 74 percent and Red Star FC (draw no bet) at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Red Star win46%
Draw26%
Nancy win28%

Expected goals

Red Star FCRed Star FC1.58
NancyNancy1.21

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Red Star vs Nancy: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Red Star vs Nancy?

Red Star. Our model gives them a 46% chance of winning, against 28% for Nancy and 26% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 55%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 53%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Red Star and 1.2 for Nancy.

When is Red Star vs Nancy?

Monday 2 November, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a Ligue 2 match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.